Ninth Circuit Blocks Kalshi Sports Prediction Contracts

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit has ruled against Kalshi, effectively barring the platform’s sports prediction contracts in Nevada and potentially influencing similar restrictions in other states.

This ruling directly impacts players and bettors who use Kalshi’s platform for sports-related event contracts. By upholding Nevada’s gaming laws, the court decision restricts Kalshi’s ability to offer these contracts in a major regulated market, limiting access for consumers in Nevada and possibly prompting other states to enforce similar bans.

Kalshi operates prediction markets that allow users to trade contracts based on the outcomes of sports events. The Ninth Circuit’s unanimous 3-0 opinion stated that these contracts constitute sports gambling, regardless of Kalshi’s classification of them as swaps. This legal interpretation contrasts with a more favorable ruling from the Third Circuit Court in New Jersey, which recognized the Commodities Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) exclusive jurisdiction over such contracts.

The split between circuit courts has created regulatory uncertainty for both players and operators. Until the U.S. Supreme Court addresses the issue, players in states like Nevada, Massachusetts, Michigan, and Washington may experience restricted access to Kalshi’s sports prediction offerings. This could result in increased geofencing and state-level bans, limiting where consumers can legally participate.

For bettors, the ruling may shift activity toward traditional sports betting operators such as DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment. These companies have seen their shares rise following the decision and continue to expand their offerings within regulated frameworks, potentially providing more stable access for players in affected states.

From a player protection standpoint, clearer regulatory oversight could enhance consumer safeguards by ensuring that prediction markets comply with established gaming laws and standards. However, the ongoing legal uncertainty means players should remain cautious and informed about the legality of prediction market products in their jurisdictions.

In related news, Sportradar has expanded its partnership with Polymarket to provide enhanced sports data, live odds, audiovisual content, fan engagement, marketing, and integrity services across multiple global sports properties. This expansion includes leagues such as the Bundesliga, EuroLeague Basketball, Chinese Basketball Association, National Basketball League, and major tennis events. The partnership aims to improve the quality and transparency of information available to bettors on prediction platforms.

Meanwhile, Double Down Interactive has attracted investor attention after its stock price surpassed an acquisition offer from DoubleU Games. Analysts suggest that this could lead to a higher offer or alternative buyers emerging, indicating strong market interest in the company’s assets.

Players interested in sports betting should stay updated on regulatory changes and market developments. For more information on the ruling and its implications, see the original CDC Gaming report. Additional context on Nevada’s response is available here. Players can also review updates in the Betting section and stay informed about regulatory developments in the USA.

David Rossi